पोस्ट्स

2019 पासूनच्या पोेस्ट दाखवत आहे

Election result: Western Maharashtra- Localization is more important than centralization

Maharashtra Assembly 2019 results are eye-opening for every political party especially for parties in power. The important difference between Congress-NCP and BJP-Shivsena alliance was that INC-NCP localized the election while BJP-Shivsena centralized the election, therefore, BJP-Sena yuti was unable to overcome the local opposition. BJP-SHS alliance has witnessed a strong fight against their own rebellions. A similar thing is done by Vanchit Bahujan Aghadi. There is much discussion about the defeat of the INC-NCP alliance in some constituencies due to Vanchit Bahujan. The primary assumption for that is the people who vote for Vanchit Bahujan Aghadi, would prefer to vote for INC-NCP in the absence of the Vanchit Bahujan. But in 2014, BJP managed to attract the votes of the backward categories. Now it is not clear whether these voters would prefer INC-NCP over BJP-SHS in the absence of the Vanchit Bahujan. But yes it is true that alliance with Vanchit Bahujan would have more profita

Electoral Politics: The Changes in Post-Modi Era.

इमेज
2014 Loksabha election has made a tremendous impact on Indian Politics. The rise of Narendra Modi has changed the political equation at national as well as sub-national level. In this article, I will try to understand the changes in the voting pattern by constructing the indicators.  The main change which is being witnessed is that India is moving towards new hegemony in Indian Politics (Palshikar (2018). This is contradictory to the political movement of the Indian democracy, Before 2014, Indian democracy was moving towards convergence from hegemony which means that in political competition the dominance of the single dominated players gets reduced (Palshikar and Yadav (2003)). This is also getting reflected in the voter's behavior where voters are looking for single dominated party and dominated leader.  To understand the changes in the voting pattern, I have constructed Gallagher’s index given by Gallagher (1991) and Effective Number of Political Parties developed by Laa

(Crony) capitalism is killing the competition????

इमेज
I just finished the book called “Gas Wars: Crony Capitalism and the Ambanis” written by Paranjoy Guha Thakurta, Subir Ghosh and Jyotirmoy Chaudhuri. The book explained the relationship between RIL (Reliance Industries Limited) and government especially the relationship between energy minister, petroleum minister and RIL. These ministers were working for RIL and if you observe that these energy and petroleum minister held their position continuously for five years which are exceptional cases for given ministries. In 2014, Reliance must realize the mood of the nation and moved towards BJP. So in this article, I am trying to observe whether the competition in the industries where Mukesh has a stronghold is reduced or not in Post-Modi era. I have calculated the HHI (Herfindahl-Hirschman Index) to measure the competition. The index is calculated by summing the square of the top 10 companies share. If HHI is higher then there is less competition while if HHI is low then competition is hig

Not securing the livestock: Another reason for rural agriculture distress?

इमेज
In Q1 of 2019-20 financial year, agriculture, forestry, and fishing sector show the growth of 2% which is a drastic decline. The uncertainty in the prices of agricultural commodities is a known fact. But livestock is a thing which can provide the definite return to the farmer and can be a tool for poverty eradication for landless farmers and agricultural labor. Last year I got an opportunity to conduct a survey and to interact with farmers in the tribal area. I came to know about some success stories where agricultural labor with uncertain income started earning a fixed amount per year due to livestock. There is one interesting difference between agriculture commodity marketing and livestock marketing. Unlike agricultural commodity auction where the buyer (trader) bids for prices, here as far as livestock is concerned, the seller decides the price first and then the buyer according to his/her willingness to pay, buys the animal. But still, people are reluctant to use this tool to in